A really enjoyable read Caleb. Thank you :)

Sunrise's Swansong

Peanuts Comic

It is not merely the physical science behind Global Warming Alarmism that is rotten; the social science is equally rotten. The fiasco involves both the Sciences and the Arts. You cannot stick merely to facts, and avoid the topic of morality. Therefore this examination of the mutated ethics behind Global Warming Alarmism must begin with a very long digression, involving sportsmanship.

I have always admired good losers, because I am not one. For years I have made a New Year’s Resolution to become a better sport, but can’t keep the resolution. It only took me forty years to quit cigarettes, but quitting bad sportsmanship will take me longer.

Perhaps the roots are genetic, and boil down to owning an inherently bad temper, which my older brothers thought was amusing, when I was small. I was easy to disarm, so they would enrage me on purpose, just to see me dash…

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January 2016: Circulation


January 2016 was a month of three parts across the British Isles: Cyclonic for the first two weeks before the jet stream slipped south of the UK allowing the country to sit in some cold northerly air for around a week, before zonality returned for the last 10 days. So January ended up being joint 5th most cyclonic (objective Lamb Weather Types) since 1871.

Lamb Weather Types for 2 Feb 2016 - 25 Dec 2015 Lamb Weather Types for 2 Feb 2016 – 25 Dec 2015

Lamb Weather Type Analysis for the  January [01 Jan - 31 Jan] Lamb Weather Type Analysis for the January [01 Jan – 31 Jan]

The large negative pressure anomaly that had sat south of Iceland for most of December eventually moved to SW Ireland during the first 10 days of the month

Mean MSLP & Anomalies Monthly (3x3) January 2016 Mean MSLP & Anomalies Monthly (3×3) January 2016

Mean Sea Level Pressure & Anomalies 01 Jan to 31 Jan 2016 Mean Sea Level Pressure & Anomalies 01 Jan to 31 Jan 2016

The one reason that I decided to write an application to generate pressure anomaly charts in the…

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The Medieval Warm Period in Antarctica: How two one-data-point studies missed the target

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Sebastian Lüning

A common claim by warmists in the climate debate is the alleged absence of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) in the Southern Hemisphere. In a previous post we discussed the MWP in Australia, New Zealand and Oceania. In the following, we will take a look at Antarctica.

In 2012 a group led by Robert Mulvaney of the British Antarctic Survey published in Nature an ice-core record of deuterium variations from James Ross Island, off the northeastern tip of the Antarctic Peninsula, in which deuterium was used as a temperature proxy. Whilst they found indeed a slight warming centred around 1000 AD, later developments are puzzling. Unexpectedly, the highest temperatures of the past millennium occurred during the Little Ice Age (LIA) around 1750 AD (Fig. 1). And the coldest temperatures were found at 1400 AD, during the late MWP. Based on this apparent mismatch with the…

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The Arctic stratosphere, so cold today


Reference frame

The diagram above serves as a reference frame. The middle stratosphere at 30 hPa has been off the scale cold since the end of November as the Arctic began to experience Polar night.



The great bulk of the northern landmasses are experiencing sub zero temperatures. The winds streaming out of the Arctic are warm by comparison with the air near Lake Baikal and the interior of Iceland. Reputedly China is experiencing its coldest winter for thirty years. The diagram below shows the circulation of the air and its temperature at 10hPa or 30 km in elevation.


The cold is due to the descent of mesospheric air in the circulation at left centred over Russia and spiralling in to the surface in the proximity of Lake Baikal. The warm ascending circulation on the right that is centred on the north Pacific is due to the persistent presence of high concentrations…

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What’s Hot, What’s Not

Watts Up With That?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I got to thinking about the idea of a temperature field. By that I mean nothing more than an estimation of theoretical temperatures given some variables like say latitude and elevation. We all know that as we go poleward it gets colder, and the same is true when we go upwards into the mountains. So we can make a formula that can estimate the temperature at any spot on the Earth if we know its latitude and elevation. It’s an excellent estimation, with an R^2 of 0.94.

In the CERES satellite data, the relationship works out like this. Start at minus thirty-one degrees. Add sixty times the cosine of the latitude. Then subtract six degrees for every thousand metres of elevation. That gives you the estimated temperature for any given location. I note that the decrease in temperature at higher altitudes, about six degrees C…

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Nearly Two Teams of Hockey Sticks used in Massive Wilson Super Reconstruction

the Air Vent

So a Willis Eschenbach article at WUWT caught my attention this afternoon and cost me several hours. It is basically an average of 54 different tree ring reconstructions around the world. The sheer volume of data which went into each hockey stick and then was processed into the final hockeystick is huge.  Willis demonstrated the indescribable method used to combine the data turned out to be equivalent to a simple average. The result: Hockeystick!

53-proxies-wilson-2016[1] Graph per Willis Eschenbach — WUWT article linked above Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings:
Rob Wilson a, b, *, Kevin Anchukaitis b, c, Keith R. Briffa d, Ulf Büntgen e, g, h, Edward Cook b,
Rosanne D’Arrigo b, Nicole Davi b, i, Jan Esper j, Dave Frank e, Bj€orn Gunnarson k,
Gabi Hegerl l, Samuli Helama m, Stefan Klesse e, Paul J. Krusic f, k, Hans W. Linderholm n,
Vladimir Myglan o…

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Noah and The Flood


Noah and The Flood

The narrative of Noah, his Ark and The Flood is an ancient story.

In the Abrahamic religions, Noah, was the tenth and last of the pre-flood Patriarchs.

The story of Noah’s Ark is told in the Torah in the Genesis flood narrative.

The biblical account is followed by the story of the Curse of Canaan.

Besides the Book of Genesis, Noah is also mentioned in 1st Chronicles, Tobit, Wisdom, Sirach, Isaiah, Ezekiel, the Gospel of Matthew, the Gospel of Luke, the Epistle to the Hebrews, 1st Peter and 2nd Peter.

He was the subject of much elaboration in the literature of later Abrahamic religions, including the Quran (Sura 71).

Although the date of The Flood is unknown the mainstream believe one of the narrative sources can be traced back to the 10th century BC.

According to the documentary hypothesis, the first five books of the Bible

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Neal Adams: 01 – The Growing Earth

Something to tease the brain.


Neal Adams 01 The Growing Earth

Neal Adams is a well known comic book and commercial artist.

Neal Adams (born June 15, 1941) is an American comic book and commercial artist known for helping to create some of the definitive modern imagery of the DC Comics characters Superman, Batman, and Green Arrow; as the co-founder of the graphic design studio Continuity Associates; and as a creators-rights advocate who helped secure a pension and recognition for Superman creators Jerry Siegel and Joe Shuster.

Neal Adams is also well know for promoting the Growing Earth concept.

Adams believes the Earth is growing through a process called pair production.

Adams holds the work of Australian geologist Samuel Warren Carey in high esteem, but considers the term “Expanding Earth” a misnomer.

While Carey did advocate an expanding Earth in the mid-20th century, his model was rejected following the development of the theory of plate tectonics.

Adams advocates his ideas…

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The ABCD Theory


The ABCD Theory

Trees are a prolific example of biodiversity.

With an estimated 100,000 species, the number of trees worldwide might total twenty-five percent of all living plant species.

Trees exist in two different groups of vascular or higher plants, the gymnosperms and the angiosperms. The gymnosperm trees include conifers, cycads, ginkgophytes and gnetales; they produce seeds which are not enclosed in fruits, but in open structures such as pine cones, and many have tough waxy leaves, such as pine needles.

Trees are either evergreen, having foliage that persists and remains green throughout the year, or deciduous, shedding their leaves at the end of the growing season and then having a dormant period without foliage.

The number of trees in the world, according to a 2015 estimate, is 3.04 trillion, of which 1.39 trillion (46%) are in the tropics or sub-tropics, 0.61 trillion (20%) in the…

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