America’s Winter Of 1979

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

 

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We often hear the claim that more high temperature records are set than low ones in the US, and that this somehow proves the climate is warming. As the Guardian reported last year

In a long-term trend that demonstrates the effects of a warming climate, daily record-high temperatures have recently been outpacing daily record-lows by an average of 2-to-1, and this imbalance is expected to grow as the climate continues to warm. According to a 2009 study, if the climate were not warming, this ratio would be expected to be even.

 

I have already shown that nearly all of the high records have been set at stations that don’t date back to the 1920’s and 30’s, when the vast majority of record temperatures were set. But critics say “ what about the lack of cold records?”. As the Guardian tries to argue…

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Hans von Strork: Pause=Model Fail

The Pause

In recent years, the increase in near-surface global annual mean temperatures has emerged as considerably smaller than many had expected. We investigate whether this can be explained by contemporary climate change scenarios.In contrast to earlier analyses for a ten-year period that indicated consistency between models and observations at the 5% confidence level, we find that the continued warming stagnation over fifteen years, from 1998 -2012, is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2% confidence level…

The Science is Settled

…It is long known, from successive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(4), that contemporary globalclimate models have only limited success in simulating many such processes, ranging from the variability of the ocean circulation, ENSO events, various coupled ocean-atmosphere oscillation regimes, to changes in sea ice, land surface, atmospheric chemistry and the biosphere…

What Warming?

we hope that the need to understand the origin of the recent stagnation in global warming will accelerate efforts to achieve a more reliable simulation of climate variability on decadal time scales

CAN CLIMATE MODELS EXPLAIN THE RECENT STAGNATION IN GLOBAL WARMING?