Watch “Piers Corbyn: The Reality of Long Range Weather and Climate Forecasting | Electric Universe 2014”

Some of the comments;

Robert W. (subscriber, Toronto, Canada)

Excellent presentation on Thunderbolts Piers, comedy gold

Steve Devine (subscriber, Essex, England)

informative and amusing as ever

Maria (subscriber, Ireland)

Great vid Piers, i appreciate your work  […] I think I learnt more in that video (watched twice may need to watch again 🙂 than an entire school year in science and geography class!-) loved the humour too and really just the real approach to evidence based facts makes for better understanding…

And special thanks to Richard (subscriber, East Midlands) for highlighting the video itself;

u might get a statue outside the Royal Society in 300 years 🙂

Full comments/reaction, latest news here and here

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Recent Antarctic Warming: Unusual Or Run Of The Millenial Mill?

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

The Antarctic may have warmed up since the 19thC, but are current temperatures there anything unusual?

NIPCC have a useful list of studies which show that it has been regularly warmer in the recent past.

In a news & views item published in Nature Geoscience, van Ommen (2013) comments on the prior publications of Abram et al. (2013) and Steig et al. (2013), which, in his words, “add to the evidence that changes currently seen in Antarctica are unusual relative to the past 2000 years.” And he says that “taken together, alongside other indicators of change, the message is becoming clearer: Antarctica is very likely to be showing a response to the warming climate of the planet,” which he says may “reflect the effects of a combination of natural variability and the early impacts of rising greenhouse gas concentrations.”

But are the findings of Abram et al…

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May Bank Holiday – Fine and dry for most

Official blog of the Met Office news team

Despite some reports, Met Office forecasters are expecting pleasant weather for many over the Bank Holiday weekend, with a good deal of dry weather, rising daytime temperatures and some spells of strong sunshine at times.

Although air of polar origin moving southwards will cause much colder nights on Thursday and Friday this week, bringing air frost to some northern parts, daytime temperatures are set to recover quickly and most parts of the UK will begin to feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine this weekend.

After a chilly start on both Saturday and Sunday, many places will see dry conditions with clear and sunny periods. The best of the sunshine will be in southern and eastern areas. Some northern and western parts may be cloudier with outbreaks of rain and drizzle. However, where conditions are brighter on Sunday and Monday temperatures should be above average making it feel pleasantly warm.

Although it…

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Holographic Turbulence

physics4me

Turbulent black holes grow fractal skins as they feed

Left: The boundary vorticity ω at 3 times. Right: the horizon area element γ at the same 3 times. Left: The boundary vorticity ω at 3 times. Right: the horizon area element sqrt(γ) at the same 3 times.

by Lisa Grossman – newscientist

Feeding black holes develop a fractal skin as they grow. That’s the conclusion of simulations that take advantage of a correlation between fluid dynamics and gravity.

“We showed that when you throw stuff into a black hole, the surface of the black hole responds like a fluid – and in particular, it can become turbulent,” says Allan Adams at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “More precisely, the horizon itself becomes a fractal.”

Fractals are mathematical sets that show self-similar patterns: zoom in on one part of a fractal drawing, like the famous Mandelbrot set, and the smaller portion will look nearly the same as the original image. Objects with fractal geometries show up all over nature, from…

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Met Office in last minute warning

I checked the forecast this morning and knew rain was due but not this much!
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Seeing how heavy the rain was it was obvious there was a risk of flash flooding.

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As can be seen there are several areas of very heavy precipitation scattered around the South East, some in excess of 50mm p/hr.

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Key to intensity

There was no Met Office warning either last night (BBC forecast) or earlier this morning. A quick look at their site showed a yellow warning in force although not clear on detail as the text was missing (the mobile site had clearly not updated).

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The desktop site did however have the information.

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Yep. The warning was issued SEVEN minutes before it came into effect.

Gone with the wind: England’s most important coastline

Watts Up With That?

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

I shall not cease from mental fight,

Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand,

Till we have built Jerusalem

In England’s green and pleasant land.

Thus William Blake, in the coda of the mystical poem that the nation belts out at full if not always tuneful volume on the Last Night of the Proms at the Albert Hall every summer.

England’s g. and p. l. is not what it was when Blake wrote about it. The place is being expensively carpeted with ugly, medieval, lo-tech wind farms.

The governing class still likes windmills. It is making a fortune out of them, at everyone else’s expense. 

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Extreme Weather In Texas – 1920’s Style

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

More from the Texas Almanac:

April 13, 1921: Tornado. Melissa, Collin County, and Petty, Lamar County. Melissa was practically destroyed; 12 killed, 80 injured; damage $500,000.

April 15, 1921: Tornado. Wood, Cass and Bowie counties; 10 killed, 50 injured; damage $85,000.

Sept. 8–10, 1921: Rainstorm. Probably the greatest rainstorm in Texas history, it entered Mexico as a hurricane from the Gulf. Torrential rains fell as the storm moved northeasterly across Texas. Record floods occurred in Bexar, Travis, Williamson, Bell and Milam counties, killing 215 persons, with property losses over $19 million. Five to nine feet of water stood in downtown San Antonio. A total of 23.98 inches was measured at the U.S. Weather Bureau station at Taylor during a period of 35 hours, with a 24-hour maximum of 23.11 on September 9-10. The greatest rainfall recorded in United States history during 18…

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