No Increase In Extreme Weather In The Philippines

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

We keep hearing claims that extreme rainfall events are on the increase, because of climate change. PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration have done their own research, which suggests that, there at least, this is not the case.

In their study, “Current Climate and Observed Trends”, they conclude that:

.

They also show this chart of tropical cyclones from 1948 to 2010, that have passed through the Philippines Area of Responsibility. The trend is very slightly downwards.

figure9

They find:

As for stronger storms, they find a slightly higher number during El Nino years, but, again, no overall trends:

figure10

http://kidlat.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/cab/climate_change/CurrentClimateTrends.html

It may just be one country, but it seems we should take blanket claims of “increasing extreme weather” with a pinch of salt.

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