Extreme Rainfall Claims Not Supported By Data

“It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with [observations], it’s wrong.”


By Paul Homewood



The Guardian, reporting on some recent research from Oxford University, comment:

Climate change caused by humans has made the likelihood of extreme rainfall similar to that seen in England this winter significantly higher, according to analysis seen by the Guardian.

Rainfall events that would previously have occurred only once in a century are now likely to be witnessed once every eighty years in the south of England, the Oxford University work shows.

That will mean far more frequent severe floods for residents of the crowded region, with what were once extremely rare events now happening much more often than the infrastructure of the region is equipped for. The research shows an increase in the rate of such events of about 20 to 25%, which significantly alters the number of homes likely to be vulnerable to flooding.

The first thing to point out is that these…

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