Extreme Weather in 1759

A diary recording Bath’s weather, written by a clergyman about 250 years ago, has been found by archivists.

 

The parchment notebook belonged to Reverend Duel Taylor whose tiny writing recorded the city’s weather every day for six years between 1756 and 1761.

 

An entry in December 1759 shows extreme weather was not unusual with the the river “frozen so hard” people had to “walk across it for three days past”.

 

It was found among papers of Bath’s town clerks.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-28170538

The Central England Temperature for December 1759 was 2.5C, about -2.1C below the 1961-1990 average.

h/t JunkScience

Some weather as the Jet Stream passes overhead


The rain has eased since the weekend with showers more isolated and much lighter* with the sun emerging for longer stretches. The video above was my attempt to record a particularly heavy squall which ended when the wind and rain made a mockery of my shelter under the trees and broke my umbrella.

click to enlarge

Saturday. Image: KNMI

Continue reading

Nigel Lawson to Climate Morons ‘Cool it’

Lord Lawson takes direct aim at Slingo [my emphasis]

The unusual persistence of heavy rainfall over the UK during February, which led to considerable flooding, is believed by the scientists to have been caused by the wayward behaviour of the jetstream; and there is no credible scientific theory that links this behaviour to the fact that the earth’s surface is some 0.8ºC warmer than it was 150 years ago.

That has not stopped some climate scientists, such as the publicity-hungry chief scientist at the UK Met Office, Dame Julia Slingo, from telling the media that it is likely that “climate change” (by which they mean warming) is partly to blame. Usually, however, the climate scientists take refuge in the weasel words that any topical extreme weather event, whatever the extreme weather may be, whether the recent UK rainfall or last year’s typhoon in the Philippines, “is consistent with what we would expect from climate change”.

So what? It is also consistent with the theory that it is a punishment from the Almighty for our sins (the prevailing explanation of extreme weather events throughout most of human history). But that does not mean that there is the slightest truth in it. Indeed, it would be helpful if the climate scientists would tell us what weather pattern would not be consistent with the current climate orthodoxy. If they cannot do so, then we would do well to recall the important insight of Karl Popper — that any theory that is incapable of falsification cannot be considered scientific.

read the rest here.

climate change’ is the exact opposite of what the Met Office predict and whatever the weather we experience – especially the bits not within a Goldilocks definition of what it should be – we’re going to get more of it and YOU’RE TO BLAME.

Rinse and repeat the excuses whatever the weather.

https://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/02/16/uk-met-office-cheaters-never-prosper/

also check out Paul Homewood’s inconvenient finding on 1929 – The Year The Met Office Tried To Cover Up

I found similarities also in the wet winter of 1876/7, which was remarkably similar and a year of ‘global weirding‘ extremes. 1877 was a ‘bit windy‘, as Paul Homewood noted.

Then there’s the winter of 1976/7 in the UK (post on 76/7 in the works), which featured a displaced polar vortex over North America and followed a similar hot summer.

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/09/11/comparison-of-the-summers-of-1976-and-2013/

You could even look back further

https://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/02/16/floodplains-the-clue-is-in-the-name/

https://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/02/15/climate-change-realism/

Watch “Piers Corbyn: The Reality of Long Range Weather and Climate Forecasting | Electric Universe 2014”

Some of the comments;

Robert W. (subscriber, Toronto, Canada)

Excellent presentation on Thunderbolts Piers, comedy gold

Steve Devine (subscriber, Essex, England)

informative and amusing as ever

Maria (subscriber, Ireland)

Great vid Piers, i appreciate your work  […] I think I learnt more in that video (watched twice may need to watch again 🙂 than an entire school year in science and geography class!-) loved the humour too and really just the real approach to evidence based facts makes for better understanding…

And special thanks to Richard (subscriber, East Midlands) for highlighting the video itself;

u might get a statue outside the Royal Society in 300 years 🙂

Full comments/reaction, latest news here and here

Met Office in last minute warning

I checked the forecast this morning and knew rain was due but not this much!
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Seeing how heavy the rain was it was obvious there was a risk of flash flooding.

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As can be seen there are several areas of very heavy precipitation scattered around the South East, some in excess of 50mm p/hr.

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Key to intensity

There was no Met Office warning either last night (BBC forecast) or earlier this morning. A quick look at their site showed a yellow warning in force although not clear on detail as the text was missing (the mobile site had clearly not updated).

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The desktop site did however have the information.

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Yep. The warning was issued SEVEN minutes before it came into effect.

What ‘Global Warming’ looks like in 2014

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Though North America is a full month into astronomical spring, the Great Lakes have been 

slow to give up on winter. As of April 22, 2014, the Great Lakes were 33.9 percent ice covered.The lake they call Superior dominated the pack.

In the early afternoon on April 20, 2014, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this natural-color image of Lake Superior, which straddles the United States–Canada border. At the time Aqua passed over, the lake was 63.5 percent ice covered, according to the NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab (GLERL). Averaged across Lake Superior, ice was 22.6 centimeters (8.9 inches) thick; it was as much as twice that thickness in some locations.

full report here

h/t CarlT

1929 – The Year The Met Office Tried To Cover Up

Very striking indeed.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Readers of this blog will be well aware that by far the wettest 3-month period on record in the UK was not this winter, as the Met Office would like you to believe, but November 1929 to January 1930.

During those three months. a total of 554mm fell across the UK, compared with 531mm this winter. (October 1929 was also very wet – the October to December total that year was 553mm).

As I also pointed out previously, the wet winter of 1929 followed a remarkably dry first nine months of the year.

I have across this paper by Lily Winchester of the University of Liverpool, written in 1930, entitled “The Abnormal Weather of 1929”, which shows what a remarkable year it was.

index

http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/40559675?uid=3738032&uid=322553173&uid=2134&uid=2&uid=70&uid=3&uid=60&sid=21104048882663

After describing the cold start to the year and hot, dry spring and summer, she moves onto wet end to the…

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