Lassen and Thejll: “close correlation found between solar activity and Arctic Ocean climate.”

Tallbloke's Talkshop

From the HockeyShctick, via GWPF:

A paper published by the Danish Meteorological Institute finds a remarkable correlation of Arctic sea ice observations over the past 500 years to “the solar cycle length, which is a measure of solar activity. A close correlation (R=0.67) of high significance (0.5 % probability of a chance occurrence) is found between the two patterns, suggesting a link from solar activity to the Arctic Ocean climate.”

The paper adds to several others demonstrating that Arctic sea ice extent and climate is controlled by natural variations in solar activity, ocean & atmospheric oscillations, winds & storm activity, not man-made CO2.

Solar Cycle Length [SCL] shown by dotted line, Koch sea ice extent index from observations in the Greenland Sea shown by solid line.

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Australia Borrows Hansen’s Pink Crayon


By Paul Homewood




In their article about a WMO report, the Age inform us that the Bureau of Meteorology had to add extra colours to its charts during Australia’s record summer of heat.

As the map shows, the purple patch sits over South Australia. So how hot was it there last summer?


It appears, much cooler than the record summer of 2000, and not even as hot as the summer of 1938.

I wonder how they managed without a pink crayon then?

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Tungurahua –Eruption 14 July 2013


Thank you to Chryphia and Renato Rio for finding lots of information on Tungurahua, including   the Instituto Geofísico Escuela Politécnica Nacional (IGEPN)’s excellent website.

Tungurahua woke nearby residents with an explosive eruption at 11:51 UTC (06:51 am local time) on Sunday 14 July 2013 (VA report [1]).  The eruption could be heard as far away as Guayaquil .  The initial eruption column reached an altitude of 5.1km.   A few hours later the column was observed to have reached 8.3 km.   The ash cloud drifted northwest, north and northeast of the volcano.   Pyroclastic flows were produced, including one down the ravine of Achupashal on the west side of the volcano.  Ash fell on towns close to the volcano.

Here is the seismogram showing the onset of the eruption:

About Tungurahua

Tungurahua (5,023m) is an andesitic-dactitic stratovolcano located in the Cordillera Real in the Andes Mountains, Ecuador.  The…

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The Inflating Earth – Sea Level


The concept of “sea level” is a curious beast because the oceans aren’t level.

ocean topography

This irregular “sea level” is also continuously moving.

The M2 tidal constituent

However, after about nineteen years it is possible to calculate the Local Mean Sea Level for a given location provided everything else remains constant.

Local mean sea level (LMSL) is defined as the height of the sea with respect to a land benchmark, averaged over a period of time (such as a month or a year) long enough that fluctuations caused by waves and tides are smoothed out.

Nineteen years is preferred because the Earth, moon and sun’s relative positions repeat almost exactly in the Metonic cycle of 19 years, which is long enough to include the 18.613 year lunar nodal tidal constituent.

Unfortunately, not everything remains constant.

The Earth’s surface rises and falls vertically.
The Earth’s crust stretches and compresses horizontally.
The volume…

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