I’ll track down Joe’s actual comments but I wrote this at the time…
17 May 2012, Craig M wrote:
The sun is out but it doesn’t feel like it! Joe B calling for another cold winter – I wouldn’t bet against it! In LIA it didn’t come just in one or two years like the Met O seem to think. Did the warm summers just come in 1’s & 2’s? Thought not!
Mark Vogan suggested this could be an more active season.
Eye balling the charts (see Paul Homewood article linked below) the 50s seemed comparable reminding me of Joe Bastardi’s thoughts over the past few years. The current Weatherbell Hurricaine forecast for 2013 goes with this as well
March 30, 2013
A wild season is on the way, and the “major hit drought” on the US coast should end. In fact, multiple major hits are likely this year with the cold PDO, warm AMO decadal signal favoring the East Coast, as in the 1950s.
Worth remembering when we get the Frankenstorm/CO2 caused it in the coming months.
h/t Paul Homewood
The popularity of plate tectonics arises from its seeming to explain major features of the ocean floor, but popularity is not a measure of scientific correctness. Science is a logical process, not a democratic process.
As to why theories perpetuate is described later.
There is something fundamentally wrong with an institution accepting taxpayer money to conduct scientific research and at the same time allowing its faculty/employees to suppress advances in science with phony-baloney, made in secret reviews . But that is an every-day occurrence in American universities…Real scientists appreciate advances in science, as advances generally open the door to new discoveries. Science is about truth, not suppression, not misrepresentation, not to the scientific community and not to the general public.
h/t Malaga Bay
The calm before a siesmic storm?
In response to the question below Bob Tisdale has looked at ENSO Analogues for ~SC14 (linked after jump)
Bob on April 22, 2013 at 11:56 pm
Dear Bob,In response to your post “ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?” at wattsupwiththat.com, I have been researching analogue ENSO sequences for this year. I found one, so thought you might like to expand on it (maybe another thought provoking post?).
Present: Monthly Nino 3.4 series Jan 2004 – March 2013
Analog: Monthly Nino 3.4 series Jan 1883 – March 1892
Will the present follow the analog series out to 1895?
Found a comment I’d lost track of. A snippet first then the comment from 1 Jan in full.
Analogues of past hale cycles (i.e. ’47 ’69 ’91) suggest to me a back loaded winter lasting until equinox. 1883 had a cold March in CET and a cold March is ‘overdue’ not that it means anything but who knows? The MWW and SSW tagged to hit the polar vortex this month hint at the possibility emerging.
global warming is not so much a scientific theory subject to empirical falsification as it is a political ideology that must be fiercely defended in defiance of every fact to the contrary. In the past few years we have been told that not only hot weather but cold weather is caused by global warming. The blizzards that struck the east coast of the US in 2010 were attributed to global warming. Every weather event–hot, cold, wet or dry–is said to be caused by global warming. The theory that explains everything explains nothing.
But remember don’t let anyone tell you that a Snakeoil salesman is a lying, cheating *******.